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2016 MLB Predictions

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The Best MLB Teams Of All-Time, According To Elo

One hundred and 10 years ago, the Chicago Cubs ended the regular season with a 116-36 record. That .763 winning percentage is the best in modern baseball history by a comfortable margin, but the Cubs...

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This Year’s Cubs Might Be Better Than The Incredible ’27 Yankees

Our colleagues at ESPN are spending much of this year on an innovative history project documenting the 1927 season of the New York Yankees. A look at the numbers explains the focus on that legendary...

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A-Rod’s Complicated Legacy, By The Numbers

In a press conference on Sunday, the New York Yankees announced that Alex Rodriguez would play his final major league game on Friday, against the Tampa Bay Rays, before taking on an advisory role with...

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What The Yankees-Red Sox Rivalry Can Teach Us About Political Polarization

A few weeks ago, FiveThirtyEight fielded a SurveyMonkey poll to baseball fans in the Northeast. In the survey,1 I asked 1,071 people which baseball team they supported (if any), how strongly they...

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The AL East Won’t Be About The Yankees-Red Sox Rivalry This Year

In honor of the 2017 Major League Baseball season, which starts April 2, FiveThirtyEight is assembling some of our favorite baseball writers to chat about what’s ahead. Today, we focus on the American...

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New York Now Has More Mets Fans Than Yankees Fans

Move over, New York Yankees — there’s a new baseball boss in town. For the first time since at least 1998, Quinnipiac University has found, more New York City baseball fans liked the Mets than the...

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The Yankees Shouldn’t Be This Good Yet. (Yet!)

Welcome to Full Count, our new(!) weekly baseball column. Have anything you want me to write about? Email or tweet me at neil.paine@fivethirtyeight.com or @Neil_Paine. The summer of 2017 was supposed...

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Aaron Judge Is The Most Out-Of-Nowhere MVP Candidate Since Ichiro

It’s mid-June, and despite this weekend’s four-game sweep at the hands of the Oakland A’s, the New York Yankees are still playing some of their best baseball in franchise history. (A history that, as...

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Is Aaron Judge The Next Babe Ruth … Or The Next Jeremy Lin?

After the latest chapter of Aaron Judge’s breakout season — a dominant Home Run Derby performance that was as impressive in its ease as it was in its raw power — the New York Yankees right fielder...

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America Has Spoken: The Yankees Are The Worst

The Yankees’ longstanding self-important and overpaid ways have been pushed aside by a plucky band of youngsters and rising stars. So is it now fair to say that the franchise once proudly known as the...

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Baseball’s Richest Just Got Much Richer

The Dodgers and Yankees punctuated a quiet deadline with a pair of last-minute trades, acquiring starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Sonny Gray, respectively. Both players strengthen already formidable...

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Mets vs. Yankees? America Couldn’t Care Less, New York

The final Subway Series contest of the 2017 season takes place this evening at Citi Field, and if you put on the game, you might get the impression that the Yankees and Mets have a big-time rivalry...

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The Red Sox-Yankees Rivalry Hasn’t Mattered This Much In A Decade

On Sunday night, the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees are playing their final game of the regular season, and the stakes are still high: New York is 4.5 games behind Boston in the American League...

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Aaron Judge Was Amazing. Aaron Judge Was A Bum. Now He’s Amazing Again.

Remember when New York Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was mired in the slump to end all slumps? Or before that, when it appeared no park could contain his titanic blasts? The larger-than-life Judge has a...

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Each AL Playoff Team’s Biggest Strength — And Weakness

The MLB playoffs are finally upon us, and to help set the scene, we’re previewing the division-series field — sorry, Twins — for each league. For every team, we picked out their most important...

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Joe Girardi Was A Good Manager. In 2017, That’s Not Enough.

After he brought the team to the brink of the World Series, manager Joe Girardi was let go by the Yankees on Thursday. Girardi’s tenure included a championship and 10 years in which the team was...

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How Much Should We Fear Giancarlo Stanton In Pinstripes?

After several weeks of involved trade discussions that would send prized Miami Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton to either the San Francisco Giants or St. Louis Cardinals, the baseball world was thrown...

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Is Going To Be Epic This Season

The first Yankees-Red Sox matchup of 2018 is happening tonight, and ordinarily, we’d be full of anticipation over one of the best seasons in memory for the historic rivalry. And yet, between injuries...

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The Nationals, Yankees, Dodgers And Cubs Can’t Possibly Be This Mediocre …...

The 2018 MLB season may not even be a month old, but it’s never too early to start overanalyzing how teams have looked so far. That’s especially true this season, when many of the clubs slated to be...

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